Ukraine Security

While campaigning for the presidential run-off in Ukraine is heating up, publicized threats to Ukraine are gaining visibility.

Comedian Volodymyr Zelenskiy is winning polls for the presidential run-off. Best case, incumbent Petro Poroshenko has support from 18%, while former Prime Minister Yulia Tymoshenko has fallen to 15% support. The top two candidates face off in a final election in the event one candidate doesn’t attract over 50% of the vote at the end of March, 2019.

Although the state of emergency declared by Petro Poroshenko (after Russia seized Ukraine vessels in the Kerch Strait some months ago) was exciting news for Ukraine itself, the rest of the world yawned. Poroshenko allowed the martial law declaration to expire, although Russia still detains sailors from the three Ukrainian ships it seized.

Conflict in Donbass rages on, with claims surfacing that Russia is prepared to substantially escalate presence in that region. Since a rather quick occupation, Crimea remains safely in Russian hands. Eastern European countries are cataloging Russian adventurism, but United States policy remains aloof….

What is next?

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